Zonal rüzgarlar ocak sonundan en az mart başına kadar istediğimiz düzeyde. Senaryoların çoğu Minör ısınmada mutabık bir kaç senaryoda Majör Ani stratosfik ısınma diyor. Şimdilik Minör ısınma daha ön planda.
Estimator tarafından yazılan gönderiler
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Snowreis41 Gfs ve Ecmwf’de şu şuna uydu böyle oldu gibi bir durum yok. Bu iki modelde zamanında hem uzun vadede hemde kısa vadede birbirlerinin önüne geçmiştir. Ve başarı oranlarıda yüksekki dünya üzerinde takip edilen iki ana model bunlardır.
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Dostlar eğer paylaşacak biri yoka Ecmwf bende.
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1 mart 2018 sistemine benziyor bence sistem. Tabi daha verilere fazla bakamadım. Estimator hocam siz ne düşünüyorsunuz?
Bu sinoptik kesinlikle radikal biçimde değişecektir. Ecmwf’i bekleyelim.
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Gfs’nin bu güncellemesi hayal ürünü.
Kralı bekleyelim.