model sonunda 500hpa da aksiyon devam ediyor ama 850hpa artik zayifliyor.
takip eden paylasan yorum yapan herkesin ellerine saglik. hayirli sabahlar diyelim artik
mehmet civan tarafından yazılan gönderiler
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takip eden paylasan yorum yapan herkesin ellerine saglik. hayirli sabahlar diyelim artik
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500 temp de ki -30 luk cekirdek batida kar yagislari vermis lakin 850 de destegi yok.
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Ne kadar şanssızız biz yav
olur cagri >>>WinteR<<< hocam da yazdi ani dalgalanmalardan yakalariz mutlaka.
suan -1 de duragan pozisyonu yansidi modellere notr e meyleden senaryolarda var yari yariyaThe content cannot be displayed because you do not have authorisation to view this content. -
azorumuzun saglam kalmasi gerekli. endeks takip edicez.
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azor ve uraldaki yb lerden kaynakli. fakat azorda tekrar guclenebilir
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fark
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Merhaba hoşgeldin abim
Son saat
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Yılbaşı
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4-5mm/h 6 saatlik ortalamada 12.00-18.00 utc icin. -
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Ara saatleri görsem keşke 2 ocakta soğuk kaçmış 1 Ocak aralığında neler oldu kim bilir
500 hpa izorterminide vermiyor ecmwf. temp i gormemiz lazim
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850 de -8 karadeniz uzerinden inerken deniz suyu ile arasinda ki fark -12 -14 gibi olmuyor tabi konvektivite. ama burada 500 hpa temp cekirdegi .<-45
1015 izobarida 1000km ler olusuyor 80-100 km lik bir tasinimda (fetch) kar yagisi 160 kmn sonrasi onemli miktarda kar yagisi demek. 1040 yb ne varsa indiriyor. cok kar yagar.
karasizlik yuksek oldugu icin modeller in sapma payi biraz yuksek bu donemde, -
mehmet civan hocam Eskişehir için bir yorumun varmı
guncellemeden sonra bakayim 👍
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Tam olarak Samsun’un 0.6 yazan yerindeyim neden bu sene modellerde Orta Karadeniz sahil bandına kar düşmüyor sebebi nedir ?
ab nin tam merkezinde kaliyorsun. o degisir her guncellemede.
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